This pick was released to clients on July 05, 2025 at 11:07AM ET.
img WNBA

Golden State at Minnesota

July 5, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Golden State's defense is second in the WNBA in points allowed, and leads the league, allowing just 39.3% shooting. They're also first in offensive rebounds and averaging 34.7 defensive rebounds per game. Golden State has a winning record and has won seven of nine. They come off an 84-57 rout of Seattle as a +5 underdog. They've also scored 88, 87, 78, 83, and 84 points in the last five contests. Minnesota is 10th in the league in offensive rebounds, on a 5-4 run OVER the total. Minnesota is 3-2 over the last five games, beating the worst team in the league (Connecticut), while nipping Atlanta in overtime as a favorite, losing to Washington (68-64) as an 8.5-point favorite, and getting blown out by Indiana (74-59) as a double-digit home favorite. Three plays here: Bet Golden State to cover, take the OVER, and play a unit on Golden State on the moneyline.

2 units on Golden State +10 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Golden State +376 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 4.76)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 154 -114 (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Valkyries
18
18
24
11
71
Minnesota Lynx img
25
16
28
13
82
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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