These Pro Picks were released to clients on October 09, 2026 at 10:37AM ET.
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Golden State at Las Vegas

October 9, 2026
img9:30 PM Eastern

Las Vegas is down 0-2 in this series, trailing by 13 points over 80 minutes: 71-60 in Game 1 and 83-81 in Game 2. The Aces beat Golden State all three times in the regular season, by 10, 5, and 19, with total scores of 172, 163, and 165. Las Vegas averaged 177.3 points in regular season games, and its two home playoff games against Indiana finished 187 and 177, so the drop in this series is steep. Golden State allows 75.1 points per game, 7.6 fewer than any other team in the league, and Las Vegas has scored 60 and 81 against it, 70.5 on average, down from 91.5 in the regular season. Game 2 reached 164 because the two teams combined for 48 made free throws on 53 attempts, up from 23 on 31 in Game 1, and they took 115 field-goal attempts, down from Game 1’s 131. In that game, Las Vegas trailed 66-55 after three quarters, outscored Golden State 26-17 in the fourth, and made 23 of 26 free throws itself. A’ja Wilson scored 24 in each game, and Las Vegas is 15-7 at home. Jewell Loyd and Stephanie Talbot are listed day-to-day. I’m on Las Vegas to win and on the UNDER tonight.

1 unit on Las Vegas -183 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.55)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 158 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
Final - OT
1
2
3
4
O
F
Golden State Valkyries img
16
20
17
18
16
87
Las Vegas Aces
19
26
7
19
6
77
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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