Atlanta at Golden State

Golden State swept Las Vegas, and Atlanta swept New York in the semifinals, and neither team has played since Friday, October 9. Atlanta has won 10 straight games, five of them in the playoffs, and averaged 91.3 points per game this season, third in the league. Golden State scores 82.2 points per game, 14th in the league. It allows 75.1, the fewest in the league, and 7.6 fewer than the next-best defense. Las Vegas averaged 91.5 points per game, second in the league, and scored 60, 81, and 77 against Golden State in the semifinals. Atlanta met Golden State three times in the regular season and lost all three, 77-66, 78-75 and 88-83, the last of them in Atlanta. Atlanta shot 37.6 percent from the field in those games and Golden State shot 45, including 33 of 88 from three-point range. Atlanta signed DeWanna Bonner in late August, after all three meetings, and is 10-0 in the games she has played. Golden State on the moneyline is my play this afternoon, with Atlanta’s best score in those three games more than eight points under its season average.