When you compare these teams from what they were a year ago, there are no similarities. The Mystics were losing their last nine games, and last six at home, while the Shock were sweeping San Antonio on their way to a WNBA Championship, finishing the season on a 12-2 run. The Mystics are the heads and heels better team this year, and at -3.5 the oddsmakers are saying that on a neutral court, these teams are even. The Shock's largest margin of victory in their three road wins has been by a slender four points. Last year the Shock averaged beating the Mystics by 19 points per game, and now it is time to return the favor. The Mystics have already beaten the Shock twice this season, and I think they will make that three tonight. The Mystics are a vastly-improved offensive team, one that is scoring 77 ppg. The Shock has opened up the offense with their coaching change, and I expect this one to be a high-scoring affair as well. I'm going with Washington and the OVER here.
Detroit at Washington
August 11, 2009
5 units on Washington -3 (-105) (risk 5 to return 5)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
3 units on Game Total OVER 148 +100 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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