Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, including four outright wins. The Sun covered as a 14.5-point favorite, losing 83-75 on June 18 in the only meeting this season, even while shooting only 37 percent. The Sun are on a current 7-2 ATS run, and they have won seven of nine road contests against Phoenix. The Mercury have lost five of seven with a 2-5 ATS mark, and the two wins were against Chicago and Washington, who have a combined record of 20-36. Connecticut has shown flashes of coming together as a team after a slow start, including a 95-64 blowout of Golden State on July 27 and a 78-62 victory over the defending champion Liberty on Friday. All-Star forward Satou Sabally (17.2 points per game) is out indefinitely for Phoenix due to a personal matter. Take the Sun ATS (best bet), and grab them on the moneyline for a half-unit.
This pick was released to clients on August 05, 2025 at 11:26AM ET.
Connecticut at Phoenix
August 5, 2025
2 units on Connecticut +15.5 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
0.5 unit on Connecticut +790 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 4.45)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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