Connecticut at Dallas

Connecticut is a bad team, sitting near the bottom of the league standings and dropping its last two, and I'm not going to dress that up. But tonight isn't about whether the Sun are good, it's about whether Dallas deserves to be laying a number this big as a favorite. The Wings are riding a three-game winning streak built almost entirely on their offense, one of the more prolific scoring attacks in the league right now, while their own defense has been middling at best, nowhere near strong enough to justify laying a number this size. That profile, a high-scoring team getting bet up as a big favorite off a hot streak, is exactly the kind of number that's been live for the underdog covering all year. Connecticut doesn't need to play well to make this a game, it just needs Dallas's offense to have one quiet stretch, and a spread this wide gives it plenty of room to still cash even if the final score isn't particularly close. Take Connecticut with the points tonight.