2011 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks
August 30, 2011
Connecticut at San Antonio
Tuesday 08/30 08:00 PM Eastern
4 units on San Antonio -3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: win
3 units on Game Total UNDER 151.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: win
Connecticut plays its best basketball at home, but this is a long road trip and they are 5-9 on the road. The Sun are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on one day’s rest. The team looked out of gas in their previous game too, a road trip to Tulsa and an 83-72 loss as a 9-point favorite. That’s 3-5 ATS their last eight games overall. This is a key game for San Antonio. They’ve lost six in a row, but are still holding on to a playoffs spot. With six games remaining in the regular season, the Silver Stars (13-15) lead Los Angeles (12-17) by 1 1/2 games for the Western Conference's final playoffs berth. This is a team that had the best record in the league after the first month, so there is plenty of talent - especially on offense. There is also a sense of urgency. The Silver Stars’ last victory came against Connecticut, a 72-59 decision on Aug. 11 as a +5.5 dog and look for a huge effort tonight by the hungry home team. In addition, this will be a defensive battle. The defeat in the last game denied Connecticut a chance to clinch a playoffs spot, so they will have to tighten up the defense to do that. The UNDER is 5-1 in the Sun’s last six vs. a team with a losing straight-up record and 4-1 UNDER the total in the last five meetings between these teams in San Antonio. San Antonio will bring their “A” game on defense with so much at stake for them and the Silver Stars are 6-0 UNDER the total in their last six games playing on one day’s rest. The UNDER is also 21-7-1 in the Silver Stars last 29 games following a straight-up loss and 9-3 UNDER the total in their last 12 vs. the Eastern Conference. Play on San Antonio and take the UNDER.