South Dakota is 1-3, and its one win was 95-57 over Mount Marty, a non-Division I opponent. In its three Division I games, it lost 102-94 to Northern Kentucky, 87-85 to Cal State Fullerton, and 87-76 to Houston Christian, and those opponents shot 63%, 43%, and 56% from the field. The Coyotes turned the ball over 13 times against Mount Marty, then 15, 17, and 18 times in those three games. Drake is 2-0, beating Southern 75-68 and Division III Central College 101-48, and it forced 21 and 24 turnovers in those games. South Dakota’s giveaways keep climbing against a Drake defense that forces them, so Drake gets the win.
Alcorn State is 0-3 against Division I opponents, losing 99-58 at Ole Miss, 94-83 to Howard and 94-57 at Murray State, and those three opponents shot 57%, 57% and 47% against it. Tarleton State is 2-1, with wins of 86-60 over Cameron and 76-57 over UT Dallas, both non-Division I opponents, and a 96-90 overtime loss at San Diego that was tied 82-82 after regulation. Tarleton State shot 52% at San Diego, its only Division I game, and two of Alcorn State’s three Division I opponents shot better than that, so Tarleton comes out on top.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-3, losing 106-61 at Arkansas, 109-53 at Baylor and 106-37 at UCLA, and it has turned the ball over 24, 34 and 30 times. It shot 39%, 35% and 27% in those games, while Arkansas, Baylor and UCLA shot 55%, 49% and 59%. California Baptist is also 0-3, with losses to North Florida 71-63, Oregon State 96-68 and Chicago State 81-62 on Wednesday. California Baptist turned the ball over 15, 12, and 11 times in those games, fewer than Arkansas-Pine Bluff had in any of its three, so California Baptist has the extra possessions and wins this game.
Back Drake (-900 moneyline), Tarleton State (-1329 moneyline), and California Baptist (-1329 moneyline) in a three-team parlay at -351.