Tampa Bay at Colorado

Colorado lost 3-2 at Philadelphia on Monday and 4-3 at New Jersey on Tuesday, and both games were decided by a single goal. The Avalanche have scored 41 goals and allowed 31 through ten games, so the average Colorado game carries 7.2 goals, and six of those ten went OVER the posted total. Colorado scores 4.1 goals per game, second in the league, and gives up 27.3 shots per game, 17th. At home, it opened the season with an 8-4 win over Los Angeles and a 6-1 win over St. Louis. Tampa Bay is 7-2 and has won three straight, including a 6-2 win at Vegas on Tuesday. The Lightning score 3.4 goals per game, ninth in the league, and put 29.8 shots a night on net, eighth. Brandon Hagel has seven goals through nine games. Tampa Bay allows 24.2 shots per game, the fourth-fewest. Colorado's offense generates 30.6 shots per game, third in the league, so that defense gets tested all night. At plus money, we need this to land 48.1% of the time to show a profit. I'm on the OVER tonight, with both clubs putting at least 29 shots on net a game.