Tampa Bay at Atlanta

This game is the season finale for both teams. Atlanta has just 74 points on the season and they are 2-7 over their last nine games yet they are favored. Tampa Bay has been decent in division games, scoring 2.9 goals per game. Against this Thrashers defense that allows 3.3 per game, they can certainly win. And we think they will. Atlanta has been a real drainer as a home favorite the past two seasons (-18.2 units). That includes a 15-22 record when favored between -100 and -150. They are also 17-25 the past two seasons at home coming off a loss. We'll back the Lightning here.