Montreal at Toronto

Toronto hasn't been scoring of late as they have lost seven of their last eight, averaging 1.8 goals per game. But they played some tough teams in there and now they get a defense that has allowed 4+ goals in four of their last six games. In those six games, Montreal scored 2 goals or less four times. Home teams having lost 4+ out of their last five games tend to bounce back in their next game as they need a win badly. Also, home favorites off two consecutive road losses, not playing back-to-back games, are 59-21 (74%) over the past decade. Montreal has lost seven of nine games vs. losing teams this season so we'll back Toronto on the puckline here.