Buffalo at Anaheim

Buffalo is 7-4 OVER at home but 6-3 UNDER on the road where their scoring drops off precipitously. They average 4.4 goals per game at home but just 2.4 on the road! They are just 4-7 away from home. Anaheim is 28-15 UNDER at home this season and last vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.3+ goals per game. Anaheim has played horribly in three of their last four games. Three of those were on the road, though and the one home game was an 0-4 shutout at home three days ago. We view that as a big motivator tonight. In fact, teams off an embarrassing home shutout loss are 62-39 in their next game in December games over the past decade. The Ducks are 22-5 at home vs. teams scoring 2.9+ goals per game sinec last season. And, they are 14-1 over that span when at home favored on the moneyline between -100 to -150. Anaheim on the puckline in a low scoring game.