2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 21, 2012

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

21

Washington at New York

Sunday 10/21 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on New York (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The Giants can sometimes look so good it is scary. They played amazing football at the end of last year, propelling them to a Super Bowl win, and they did it last week to the Niners. They can also look equally as bad, as they seem to be no-shows when the competition isn't up to par. Washington is not a great team, but New York should be ready here. Division games always bring out the best in teams. The Giants will see RG3 for the first time, so you know that will become a personal challenge, one in which the Giants usually rise to the occasion. Also, the Giants are already 0-2 in the division so they know they can't suffer another letdown and loss here. Griffin has had a remarkable start to his rookie campaign, but there is one other burden. He can't play defense. Washington has allowed 22 or more points in all six of their games on the season, running that streak to eight straight since the end of last season and 10 of their last 11 as well. The Giants appear to have gotten their defensive house in order as their stop-unit has allowed just 56 points in their last four games. While RG3 is playing well, Eli Manning simply has outperformed him. If this one comes down to a stop late in the game the Giants have the ability. If the game comes down to a late score, Manning won't get too much resistance. The G-Men are 10-4 the past couple of seasons vs. bad pass defenses (those allowing 235+ passing yards per game) including 6-1 vs. teams that allow 260+ passing yards per game. During that span, New York is 77-1 straight-up vs. teams that allow 375+ total yards per game (Washington has given up 417.2 per game). Since taking over in Washington, Mike Shanahan is just 2-11 straight-up following a win. Under Tom Coughlin, the Giants are 30-5 straight-up vs. teams that allow over 5.6 yards per play. That includes a 14-1 mark vs. teams that give up 6+ yards per play (Washington = 6.4). The Skins seem to play New York tight so I don't like laying the points here. Instead, take New York on the moneyline.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Washington 3 10 0 10 23
Giants 0 13 0 14 27

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Wins Losses Units
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