Tennessee at Kansas City

Offense is going to take center stage in this one. Tennessee is on a 9-3 run OVER the total behind unstoppable power RB Derrick Henry. The threat of Henry running the football makes the play-action passes of QB Ryan Tannehill (22 TDs, 6 INTs) that much more effective. Tennessee is 102-75 OVER the total after playing their last game on the road. They will be able to score on a retooled Kansas City defense that finished #17 in yards allowed, and #25 against the run. But this Kansas City offense is unstoppable behind QB Patrick Mahomes (31 TDs, 5 INTs), TE Travis Kelce (1,229 yards) and WRs Tyreek Hill (860 yards) and Sammy Watkins (673). Down 24-0 at home last week, they ripped off 41 straight points in a 51-31 comeback victory over Houston. The Chiefs are 10-2 OVER the total against teams that average 4.5 yards per rush in the second half of the season. NFL teams that commit 1.25 turnovers or fewer when facing each other are 72-44 OVER the total when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 and this shapes up as an offensive show. Play this game to finish OVER.