2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 10, 2021
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Sunday 10/10 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Tennessee -4.5 (-103) (risk 1 to return 1.97) RESULT: WIN
This is an excellent matchup for Tennessee to bounce back after a loss to the Jets. They won 33-30 in their other road game at Seattle as a +6 dog. RB Derrick Henry has run for 182, 113, and 157 yards the last three games and faces a Jacksonville defense allowing 106.3 yards rushing per game. The Tennessee defense is Top 10 against the run and #13 on third-down. Rebuilding Jacksonville is #26 offensively in passing yards, #25 in points scored (18.5 per game), and #27 on third down (33.33%) behind rookie QB Trevor Lawrence (5 TDs, 7 INTs). The winless Jaguars are 6-17 ATS at home against teams that average 375+ yards per game and 4-13 ATS after allowing 400+ total yards in two straight contests. Play Tennessee.