2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 21, 2004
This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 8:01PM ET.
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Sunday 11/21 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Jacksonville -3 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73) RESULT: LOSS
The public continues to think this is the Tennessee Titans of old. They are not. Ladies and Gentlemen, the Titans are 3-6 SU and 3-6 ATS. Against winning teams this year Tennessee is 1-4 SU and ATS. They are playing a playoff contender here on the road and only getting three points. McNair should be back but the Titans are bad with him, too. In the games in which he's played, McNair threw for only 150 yards per game and more interceptions than touchdowns. The bigger injury problem or Tennessee is Chris Brown. He's likely to miss this one and he's by far the best part about the Titan offense. Last week he played hobbled and gained only 62 yards in an upset loss to the Bears. Further on the injury front, Tennessee is without their starting strong safety, let tacked and defensive tackle. Normally I don't read too much into injuries but Tennessee is bad when healthy and these injuries put this game over the top for me. Jacksonville backup David Garrard is doing just fine. Last week he lead his team to a victory in his first start, throwing two touchdowns. Sunday home favorites of 3 or less follwing a win in which they emphasized the run a lot more than normal are an amazing 18-1 ATS against conference opponents the next week. Bet 165 to win 150 on Jacksonville minus the points.