These picks were released to clients on September 26, 2025 at 1:38PM ET.
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Tennessee at Houston

September 28, 2025
img1:00 PM Eastern

Something has to give as both teams are 0-3, and Houston hasn't earned the right to be a touchdown favorite against anyone. Tennessee is 6-1-1 ATS in its past eight games following a double-digit home loss, and the Texans are on a 1-8-2 ATS run in their past 11 September games. The Titans have covered five of their last six games at Houston. The Texans are averaging just 12.7 points per game, and all three have been easy UNDERS as the defense has been adequate. Four of six meetings have gone UNDER, and Houston is 7-3 UNDER in its past 10 home games. The Texans have also stayed UNDER eight in eight of 11 division games. Tennessee is making what could be a pivotal move as head coach Brian Callahan is handing off his play-calling duties to quarterbacks coach Bo Hardegree. Cam Ward could benefit after he went 23 of 38 for 219 yards and a TD with one interception against the Colts. The UNDER is 9-1-2 in the Texans' past 12 games following a loss, and they have gone UNDER six straight September games. C.J. Stroud has only two TD passes with three interceptions this season. Houston had three turnovers while losing 17-10 to Jacksonville and totaled only 271 yards of offense. Take the Titans and the UNDER.

1 unit on Tennessee +7.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 39.5 -104 (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Tennessee Titans
0
0
0
0
0
Houston Texans img
3
3
0
20
26
consensus consensus
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