2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 28, 2004
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Tennessee at Houston
Sunday 11/28 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Houston +1.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: win
2 units on Houston +110 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.2) RESULT: win
The last time these two teams met, Houston won the game 20-10 as a 6.5 point underdog. Revenge here for the Titans or same result? Same result. Sure, Tennessee's off a win and Houston is floundering. But, it's ridiculous that Tennessee is favored here. Houston is the better team and they are at home. After starting the season 4-3, they've dropped three straight. But who have they played in these three? Only the surging Green Bay Packers, on-fire Denver Broncos and unstoppable Indianapolis Colts. I can't blame them for going 0-3 against that group. Tennessee doesn't come close to any of them.The Titans could have easily lost last week and even with the win, they are 4-6 on the season and they remain severely banged up. The Titan secondary is a mess. They are without DB Justin Sandy, FS Lance Schulters, SS Tank Williams and CB Andre Woolfolk. Others including SS Scott McGarrahan and CB Samari Rolle are questionable for this game. Tennessee's looking at its third-straight road game and they they qualify for a trend here involving teams in this situation in which the home team 16-4 ATS. Houston wins this outright. We'll go two stars (3%) with the points and another two-stars on the straight-up Texan win.