This pick was released to clients on August 15, 2012 at 3:46PM ET.
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Tennessee at Houston

December 21, 2003
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Houston +6 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)

Steve McNair will probably play in this game. If he doesn’t, it’s a bonus but it won’t matter. If Tennessee’s passing game struggles due to a gimpy McNair or a rusty Neil O’Donnell, they could be in trouble. Their rushing attack is ranked 28th in the league. Another weakness of this Titan’s team is their pass defense, one of the league’s worst. Tennessee is giving up 27.5 points per game over their last four, three of which were against non-playoff teams. During that same span, the Texans have scored just 10 points per game. I think that’s going to change this week with the return of quarterback David Carr (listed as probable) after missing four straight starts with a sprained shoulder. He and the Houston fans will be eager to rock at home in an attempt to play spoiler against a playoff-bound team. In this, the second-to-last week in the season, home underdogs cover the number better than 7 out of 10 times. Houston is 4-1 ATS this year at home.


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