2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 20, 2009

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.


Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Sunday 09/20 04:05 PM Eastern

5 units on Tampa Bay +5.5 (-110) (risk 5 to return 5)  RESULT: LOSS

The Bills must be experiencing a sense of déjà vu. Two years ago on a Monday night they were beating Dallas by eight points with 20 seconds to go. They watched Dallas score, miss the two-point conversion, but recover the onside kick, then kick the game-winning field goal as time expired. The final score was Dallas 25, Buffalo 24. Last week the unthinkable happened, as the Bills had what appeared to be a huge upset win, up by 11 with under two minutes left, but the final score read identical to the '07 game with Dallas - New England 25, Buffalo 24. So now they have to pick up the pieces from a devastating loss. They played very well in that game, but still lost and I think on the short week, they may have a hangover here. The Bucs lost to the Cowboys by 13, but the final game score was misleading. Tampa Bay ran all over the Cowboy defense, and Byron Leftwich passed all over it as well. The Bucs generated 26 first downs, had as many yards as Dallas, and had the time of possession edge as well. The problem was that Tony Romo connected on three back-breaking long passes plays of 80 yards, 66 and 42 yards. So Dallas deserved to win, but Tampa Bay did not play that badly. I look for the Bucs will seal the holes and I'm also sure that Trent Edwards does not have the same ability downfield as Romo. The Bucs are catching the Bills in a tough emotional spot and were much better than advertised in their opener, despite the results. I'll go with Tampa in this one as they have a decent shot at winning this game outright.

Buccaneers 0 14 0 6 20
Bills 17 3 0 13 33



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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