2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 18, 2016

This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2021 at 2:45PM ET.

18

Tampa Bay at Arizona

Sunday 09/18 04:05 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Arizona -300 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2)  RESULT: win

1 unit on Game Total OVER 50 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)  RESULT: loss

Arizona did not play its best game but still was a last-minute missed field goal away from beating New England. The Cardinals have a lot to build on though as David Johnson rushed for 92 yards on 20 attempts and caught four passes while Larry Fitzgerald had eight receptions for 81 yards.  Carson Palmer finished 24-of-37 for 271 yards with no interceptions. Arizona is 15-6 ATS after an ATS loss and coach Bruce Arians has won 12 home games in a row (11-1 ATS) when following a loss when facing a team off a straight-up and ATS win. Tampa Bay is just 3-10 ATS after an ATS win and 2-6 ATS following any win. The Buccaneers were actually outgained by Atlanta 374-371 in the opener. Matt Ryan completed 27-of-39 for 334 yards against a Tampa Bay secondary that still is a work in progress. Also, Jameis Winston will face a  defensive backfield featuring Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu.  The Bucs-Falcons matchup sailed OVER the total last week and the missed field goal cost bettors the OVER in the Pats-Cards contest. Tampa Bay has gone OVER four of its last five games on the road and its last four overall. The Buccaneers won on Sunday after losing their last four games in 2015.  Arizona gets the win in a high-scoring affair. Play the Cardinals on the moneyline and also take the OVER.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Buccaneers 0 0 7 0 7
Cardinals 0 24 9 7 40

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