2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 10, 2004

This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 6:46PM ET.

10

St. Louis at Seattle

Sunday 10/10 04:15 PM Eastern

2 units on St. Louis +7 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)  RESULT: win

2 units on St. Louis +245 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 6.9)  RESULT: win

You know I'm not a huge fan of St. Louis - primarily due to Mike Martz. But as I said last week, when he runs Marshall, they win. He chose to run Marshall again last week and they won and covered. The same thing happened in week one (average rushing yards in those two games: 175). In the other two games in between, he didn't run Faulk and they lost and failed to cover. Has he figured out the formula? Let's hope so this weekend. I think he has. Seattle has thrived this year on takeaways (10) and keeping opponents off the scoreboard. They have given up just 13 points in three games! For anyone to have a shot at beating them, they better have a good offense. The Rams certainly qualify. I don't see them struggling in this one. We are getting great value here at a full touchdown due to Seattle's great play so far combined with everyone's preseason prediction that this would be their year. Perfect time for a letdown here. I like the league's sixth-best offense (and a very balanced one) to keep this one closer than most people think. I don't think Seattle's defense has really been tested yet.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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