2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 19, 2004

This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 8:31PM ET.

19

St. Louis at Arizona

Sunday 12/19 04:05 PM Eastern

4 units on Arizona +3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: win

2 units on Arizona +135 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.7)  RESULT: win

Stick a fork in them. The Rams are done. After riding high on top of the NFC West five weeks ago, they've dropped three of four and now have a losing record. I believe after a loss on Sunday, they'll officially be watching the playoffs from home. As I pointed out last week, the Rams are no good on the road. They've dropped their last four on the road by an average score of 14-33. They haven't beaten anyone of substance since week six. Really, all of the reasons that lined up last week to make Carolina the pick against the Rams are there again this week. St. Louis will again be relying on the 39-year old Chris Chandler and third-string running back Arlen Harris. St. Louis simply can't win without Bulger. They have a weak running game and lame defense. The Cardinals have Josh McCown back at QB and he showed some heart last week, rallying his team back from a 25-point defecit. My statistical analysis tells me that these teams are virtually dead even. Arizona should be favored here. St. Louis underperforms against bad teams late in the season. They are just 1-10 ATS over the past three years against teams with losing records in the second half of the season. Four stars on the Cardinals +3 and another two star pick on Arizona to win the game straight-up.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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