These picks were released to clients on February 03, 2026 at 3:26PM ET.
img NFL

Seattle vs. New England

February 8, 2026
img6:30 PM Eastern

Will the longest field goal be more than 54.5 yards in Super Bowl LX? Take the "NO" on this bet. Based on my analysis of past Super Bowls and the teams in this matchup, I estimate a 76% chance of us winning this bet. At -380 odds, we have a big advantage against the book. 

1.5 units on Longest FG in game Over 54.5 = NO (risk 1.5 to return 1.89)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on New England +5 (-108) (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ¼ UNDER 9.5 -131 (risk 1.5 to return 2.65)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 45 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on 1st play from scrimmage 1st down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.44)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Kickoff returned for a touchdown = YES (risk 0.5 to return 11.5)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Any player scores 8 points in single drive = NO (risk 2 to return 2.13)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Total interceptions Over 1.5 = YES (risk 1 to return 2.15)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Total rushing touchdowns Over 2.5 = NO (risk 1.5 to return 2.15)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Offensive touchdown scored on 4th down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 4Q OVER 12.5 = YES (risk 1 to return 1.83)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Highest scoring quarter = 4th = YES (risk 1 to return 3.1)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Score in final 3:30 of 4th quarter = YES (risk 1 to return 1.53)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Team that scores last win game = YES (risk 1 to return 1.45)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Margin of victory exactly 4 points = YES (risk 0.5 to return 8.5)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Seattle Seahawks img
3
6
3
17
29
New England Patriots
0
0
0
13
13
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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