Will the first play from scrimmage result in a first down in Super Bowl LX? Take the "NO" on this bet. Based on my analysis of past Super Bowls and the teams in this matchup, I estimate a 92% chance of us winning this bet. At -450 odds, we have a big advantage against the book.
These picks were released to clients on February 03, 2026 at 3:26PM ET.
NFL
Seattle vs. New England
February 8, 2026
6:30 PM Eastern
2 units on 1st play from scrimmage 1st down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.44)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on New England +5 (-108) (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ¼ UNDER 9.5 -131 (risk 1.5 to return 2.65)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 45 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
0.5 unit on Kickoff returned for a touchdown = YES (risk 0.5 to return 11.5)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Any player scores 8 points in single drive = NO (risk 2 to return 2.13)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Total interceptions Over 1.5 = YES (risk 1 to return 2.15)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Longest FG in game Over 54.5 = NO (risk 1.5 to return 1.89)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Total rushing touchdowns Over 2.5 = NO (risk 1.5 to return 2.15)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Offensive touchdown scored on 4th down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on 4Q OVER 12.5 = YES (risk 1 to return 1.83)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Highest scoring quarter = 4th = YES (risk 1 to return 3.1)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Score in final 3:30 of 4th quarter = YES (risk 1 to return 1.53)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Team that scores last win game = YES (risk 1 to return 1.45)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
0.5 unit on Margin of victory exactly 4 points = YES (risk 0.5 to return 8.5)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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