2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 16, 2014

This pick was released to clients on November 13, 2014 at 5:29PM ET.


Seattle at Kansas City

Sunday 11/16 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Seattle +2.5 (-118) (risk 1 to return 1.85)  RESULT: LOSS

The defending Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks have not been as crisp as they were a season ago. With everyone gunning for them, it's proven hard as it normally is for the team with a target on their backs. The defense however is still elite, and while Russell Wilson seems to have struggled at times this season, he has made up the difference with his leadership and legs. Seattle still has a big weapon in Marshawn Lynch who went through the Giants weak run defense for 140 yards in 21 carries and four TDs. Overall last week, the Seahawks put up 350 yards on the ground thanks to the return of two Pro Bowlers on the offensive line in Russel Okung and Max Unger. Lynch will go over the 1,000 yard mark in this one, as the Chiefs will see a heavy dose of Beast Mode. Kansas City is one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL, allowing 4.7 yards per carry to teams that average just 4.0. That goes up against a Seattle running attack that has generated 5.5 yards to a schedule of teams that allow 4.3. The Chiefs have allowed 144 yards per game on the ground over their last seven. I don't see how they can stop the Seattle running game without Wilson beating them over the top if they commit extra men in the box. Since 2011, the Seahawks are 17-5-2 ATS as a dog including 9-1 the past two and a half seasons with Wilson. Meanwhile, since 2007, KC is just 7-20-1 ATS as a home favorite. Take Seattle.

Seahawks 0 13 7 0 20
Chiefs 7 7 3 7 24



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