2013 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 29, 2013

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.


Seattle at Houston

Sunday 09/29 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Game Total OVER 40.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1)  RESULT: WIN

The Seattle Seahawks offense has continued its progression under Russell Wilson. Once he got things figured out last year, this offense took off. The first seven games a year ago, the Seahawks scored just 116 points, or 16.6 ppg. The transformation since that time has been off the charts. The 16.6 ppg offense has since exploded for 434 points in their last 14 games, or 31 ppg. That's nearly a 100% increase! This Houston team has been explosive at home where they scored 234 points in eight regular season games a year ago, at 29.3 ppg. And, in their only home game this season they put up 30. These teams both defend well, but we are not asking for each to put up 30 points. Instead, we are just looking for about 21 from each team. Seattle comes into this contest having played OVER the total in 21 of their last 28 vs. winning teams. Houston is 31-15 OVER in their last 46 vs. winning teams. Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 34-20 OVER including 10-1 OVER following a game in which they outgained their opponent by 100+ yards. And, get this: The Carroll-led Seahawks are an incredible 17-4 OVER when facing a winning team! Meanwhile, under Gary Kubiak, the Texans are 26-16 OVER in expected close games (games with a line of +3 to -3) and 33-22 OVER as an underdog. Take this game to go OVER the total.

Seahawks 3 0 3 14 3 23
Texans 0 20 0 0 0 20



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

with detailed analysis