2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 20, 2015

This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2015 at 10:08PM ET.


Seattle at Green Bay

Sunday 09/20 08:30 PM Eastern

1 unit on Green Bay -3 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)  RESULT: WIN

Is this a revenge game for the home team? Actually it's double revenge, as Seattle whipped the Packers twice last season, 36-16 and 28-22 in overtime -- both at home. Now they head to Lambeau Field where the Packers are a sizzling 33-16-2 ATS. This is a bad situational spot for Seattle in a lot of ways. It's their second straight road game to open the season, off a physical game against the Rams in a gut-wrenching 34-31 defeat. They traded away their starting center to New Orleans to add TE Jimmy Graham, who wasn't a difference maker in the opener, and the passing game has below average targets in WR Jermaine Kerse and Doug Baldwin. They have one of the weakest offensive lines in the NFL now and QB Russell Wilson was sacked six times last week. On an offense predicated on running the pigskin first, having a weak O-line is a major concern. The defense is still without star holdout S Kam Chancellor and the Rams outrushed them 124-76. Green Bay has the best QB in the game in Aaron Rodgers (3 TDs, no picks). And a young defense has made big strides, ranked #10 against the pass, #23 against the run last season and has NT B.J. Raji back from an injury. Plus LB Clay Matthews continues to play inside, which vastly improved the run defense late last year. Green Bay is 38-17-1 ATS on grass and Seattle 1-3-1 ATS at Lambeau Field. Green Bay gets its revenge.

Seahawks 3 0 14 0 17
Packers 10 3 3 11 27



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