2010 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 19, 2010
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Seattle at Denver
Sunday 09/19 04:05 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The Denver offense is in trouble this year. Kyle Orton faced a lot of pressure vs. a Jacksonville team that generally doesn't come with pressure. They traded away their best offensive player, Brandon Marshall. The real problem is going to be center J.D. Walton, and RT Zane Beadles. They both were making their first career starts, and were manhandled. I would expect Seattle took note of this, and will be putting heat on Orton. That will force Denver into safe short passes, and a lot of running. Seattle surprisingly had their way with a good Niners defense last week. The question is can they do it in back-to-back games, this time on the road? Remember that this is a Seattle team that put up some lofty games at home a year ago, scoring 41, 32 and 28 points. The road was a completely different story. The Seahawks scored 19, 7, 9, 10, 17 and 17 points in six of their games, topping the 20-point mark only against Arizona and St. Louis. The St. Louis game was a fluke as they gained just 265 total yards. The bottom line is they have not shown that they can score a lot on the road. They are also 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six following a win. In his NFL coaching career, Pete Carroll is 12-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less and 23-10 UNDER overall on the road. He's also 22-9 UNDER after a home game. In their last 14 home games Denver has seen 11 play UNDER the total. I like the UNDER here.
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