2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 18, 2011
Seattle at Chicago
Sunday 12/18 01:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Chicago PICK () (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: LOSS
Like so many teams over the last six weeks, the Chicago Bears were Tebow-ed last week by the Denver Broncos. They gave up an improbable 59-yard FG that sent the game into overtime, thanks to Marion Barber forgetting to stay in-bounds in regulation. Then Barber coughed up the ball on a likely touchdown jaunt in overtime to give the Broncos a chance at the game winning field goal. As a result of their loss (in a game they should have won), we get some line value here. The Bears caught a very tough break when Jay Cutler went down with an injury, but Caleb Hanie managed the game well last week with no INTs while Marion Barber carried the offense, gaining over 100 yards. It was the Bears defense that has now allowed just 23 points in the last two games that has stepped up. Seattle at 6-7 is not going to make the playoffs and has never been a very good road team. This season they have played four on the road vs. winning teams and lost three of them by 10 points or more. Last year they lost six of their eight on the road by 15 or more points. This season the Seahawks average just 15.5 points per game on the road and that's not going to cut it here. Seattle is anything but a momentum-driven team as they are a pathetic 3-22-1 ATS in their last 26 after winning their last game by 14 or more. Meanwhile the Bears are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game. Even with Hanie under center, the Bears are the better team here at home. Take Chicago in this one.