2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 24, 2004
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Seattle at Arizona
Sunday 10/24 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Arizona +6.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: win
1 unit on Arizona +240 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 3.4) RESULT: win
What's happened to these Seahawks after their incredible 3-0 start? In those first three games, they gave up an average of 4.3 points per game. In the two games that followed, they've allowed an average of 31.5. I'd say things have changed for the worse, wouldn't you? Are these last two games some strange anomoly? More like cracks in the armour. What has become obvious to me is that the Seabags aren't quite as good as advertised. Those three early wins came against teams with a combined record of 4-14. Arizona's going to be up for this game. The Cardinals are coming off a bye and Dennis Green is the master in this situation (he won 9 of 11 straight-up in that situation with the Vikings). Home underdogs off 3+ consecutive losses when facing a winning team cover the spread over two thirds of the time. Even better, home dogs off a bye week, when facing a team not off a bye, cover 8 times out of every 10. Bet 55 to win 50 on the Cards at +6.5 and 50 to win 120 on them straight-up.