2019 Season NFL Football Past Picks
February 02, 2020
This pick was released to clients on January 29, 2020 at 7:24PM ET.
San Francisco vs. Kansas City
Sunday 02/02 06:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Longest Touchdown OVER 44.5 yards (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 4.43) RESULT: LOSS
Will there be a huge game-breaker play in this game? Will one team score a long touchdown of 45 or more yards? Over the first 53 Super Bowls, a team has scored a 45+ yard touchdown 32 times (60% of the time). And, the games that didn't have a long touchdown were front-loaded in the early years. In the first 20 Super Bowls, eight of the games saw the longest touchdown remain under 45 yards. But in the last 33 Super Bowls, only 13 games have failed to produce a touchdown of 45+ yards. That's just 39% of the time. And, this game features two of the top three scoring offenses int he league. I estimate that we can expect roughly a 60% chance of winning this bet, while getting about even odds. Take the OVER on this prop bet.
|San Francisco 49ers49ers||3||7||10||0||20|
|Kansas City ChiefsChiefs||7||3||0||21||31|
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