These Pro Picks were released to clients on January 29, 2020 at 7:24PM ET.
img NFL

San Francisco vs. Kansas City

February 2, 2020
img6:30 PM Eastern

In the Super Bowl, place kickers are not used as much as they are in the regular season or even other playoff games. Teams want to score touchdowns. Out of 53 Super Bowls, there have only been 151 games with field goals of 45+ yards (28%). Fair odds on that bet are -260. And, that's based on 45 yards, not 47.5. In addition, has this changed recently? Maybe with the recent rule changes that favor offense, this percentage has gone up? Actually it's just the opposite. Over the past 15 Super Bowls, only three have seen a field goal made at 48+ yards. Since Super Bowl 41, 11 of 13 Super Bowls have had the longest field goal come in UNDER 48 yards. Take the UNDER on this prop.

1.5 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (-120) (risk 1.5 to return 4.25)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 55.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (-120) (risk 2 to return 6.78)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards UNDER 36.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 3.81)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Score in Last 3:30 of 4th Quarter = YES (-185) (risk 1.5 to return 3.81)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Fourth Quarter OVER 14.5 (+100) (risk 1 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th (+185) (risk 1.5 to return 5.17)
Result:
WIN
2 units on First Quarter UNDER 10.5 (-130) (risk 2 to return 5.54)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Team to Score First Wins the Game = YES (-175) (risk 2 to return 5.14)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Longest Touchdown OVER 44.5 yards (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 4.43)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT (-114) (risk 2 to return 5.75)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
San Francisco 49ers
3
7
10
0
20
Kansas City Chiefs img
7
3
0
21
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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