This pick was released to clients on January 29, 2020 at 7:24PM ET.
img NFL

San Francisco vs. Kansas City

February 2, 2020
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (-120) (risk 2 to return 6.78)
Result:
WIN

In 2019, the average number of field goals per game was just 3.13. San Francisco averaged just 1.4 field goals made per game while Kansas City kicked 2.1 per game. But, this is not just any game. This is the big game and the Super Bowl is a different animal. Teams are generally less conservative overall in the Super Bowl when all is said and done. It's all or nothing. The coaches do not want to leave anything on the field. If a team is ahead, they don't want to give their opponents any chance of coming back. If a team is behind, they are not playing to keep it close ? they are playing to win the game, no matter what. So, there are fewer field goals in the Super Bowl than in your average NFL game. Through the first 53 Super Bowls, there have only been 139 made field goals which comes to an average of 2.62 per game. That's 17% less than the regular-season average. In only 14 of the 53 Super Bowl games have more than three field goals been made! That comes to just 26% and fair odds on that are -285. Yet, we get -130 odds here. This bet should come through about three quarters of the time. Take the UNDER on this prop for a Max Play.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
San Francisco 49ers
3
7
10
0
20
Kansas City Chiefs img
7
3
0
21
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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