2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 26, 2004
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
San Francisco at Seattle
Sunday 09/26 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on San Francisco +450 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 11) RESULT: loss
2 units on San Francisco +10.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: loss
Nice contrarian play here. Everyone's on Seattle's bandwagon and the Niners still get no respect. The Niners have treated us well this year, giving us wins in both of the first two weeks. They continue to be underrated as the public sees a team that everyone predicted to be poor that is now 0-2. San Francisco hasn't been "healthy" double-digit dogs for over two decades! Sunday they are getting 10.5 and by kickoff it could be even better. Seattle on the other hand is rolling and has allowed a touchdown or less in both of the first two weeks. My guess is tha Seahawks players are believing their own press right now and are chalking up the playoffs as a given and the Super Bowl as a real possibility. How do they get up for this game against one of the league's worst teams with a rookie at quarterback. But hang on here. Let's peel away the onion a bit to see if there' a different picture. Is Seattle really that good? Last week they gained just 182 total yards. Is San Francisco really that bad? They have outgained their opponents in both games and have lost the two games by a total of five points. They should have won last week as one key penalty changed their fate. The 49ers have the 8th best offense and the 7th best deffense in the NFL! They rank better in both categories then their opponent this weekend. Ken Dorsey throws like a girl but somehow he gets it done. He is calm and has given his team a chance to win each week. Last week San Francisco qualified for a trend that favors road teams that were winless in the preseason that is 20-6 ATS. They qualify for it again this week. Oh yeah, the visitor has covered the last nine in a row in this matchup. One unit on San Francisco +10.5 and one unit on the big upset.