2022 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 29, 2023
This pick was released to clients on January 25, 2023 at 2:49PM ET.
San Francisco at Philadelphia
Sunday 01/29 03:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on San Francisco +3 (-130) (risk 1 to return 1.77) RESULT: loss
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 46.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86) RESULT: loss
San Francisco has won 12 games in a row with a 10-2 ATS record following its 19-12 victory over Dallas, and eight of those games went OVER. The Cowboys' inept offense prevented Sunday's game from going OVER and it didn't help that Dallas was playing its fourth consecutive road game. With Jalen Hurts under center, Philadelphia's offense will present a bigger challenge but the Niners have done well against potent passing attacks, going 10-2 ATS this season. Philly ranked 13th with a 65.4% completion percentage, and they were #3 with 7.6 yards per pass. Four of the Eagles' past seven wins have been against teams that finished under .500 and the other three were against the Giants, who barely showed last weekend. The Eagles are just 1-4 ATS their past five games and they are 3-8-1 ATS their past 12 after scoring at least 30 points in their previous game. Brock Purdy is 7-0 since replacing an injured Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 13, and he threw for 214 yards with no interceptions against Dallas as Elijah Mitchell and Christian McCaffrey teamed up for 86 rushing yards. The 49ers are 20-6 ATS in January, riding an 11-1 ATS streak since 2015. They are also 20-6 ATS in their past 26 games vs. the NFC, and 19-10 ATS when coming off a home win. Purdy has plenty of talent around him, including WR Brandon Aiyuk and tight end George Kittle, who made a sensational grab in a key moment of the game on Sunday. And don't forget Deebo Samuel. QB Hurts still is playing through a sprained shoulder and the Eagles racked up 268 yards on the ground against New York, but San Francisco finished #2 in rush defense this year and will force more passing by Hurts. At the end of the day, the Niners' D is the best in the NFL, allowing 16.4 PPG which is 3.1 fewer than the Eagles. They are also 20-10 ATS when getting points on the road since HC Kyle Shanahan took over. Philly has gone OVER 11 of 15 home games and eight of 10 overall following a win. Grab the points and if you have to pay a little extra juice to get this line up to +3, do it. Take the 49ers and the OVER.
|San Francisco 49ers49ers||0||7||0||0||7|
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