2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 03, 2010
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Pittsburgh at Miami
Sunday 01/03 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Miami +3 (-105) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The ride is essentially over for both of these teams, but they cling to the long shot which will keep some interest here. The Steelers have fallen dramatically since claiming the Super Bowl a year ago. The reality is that they are lucky to be 8-7 here as they have dodged two big bullets the last couple of weeks in games they should have lost.While most people still think of Pittsburgh as a good team with some bad breaks, they really are not a good team right now. They easily could be 6-9 entering this one. They have just two wins on the road all season and one of those was a win (no cover) at Detroit. They have also lost to Cleveland, Chicago and Kansas City on the road, so they can easily be had here by a team that is much better than the aforementioned ones. In fact, looking at their record to teams with a losing record this season, it stands at 0-6 ATS. How overrated are the Steelers? They are 3-10 ATS this season as a favorite. They are also just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 as a road favorite of 3 or fewer points. The Dolphins seem to play poorly when expected to win, but rise up as a dog as they have claimed their last six in the role of a pup. Miami is the better team, getting points at home.