2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 12, 2015
This pick was released to clients on October 09, 2015 at 10:48AM ET.
Pittsburgh at Los Angeles
Monday 10/12 08:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 45.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93) RESULT: LOSS
The San Diego Chargers have been strong offensively, and QB Phillip Rivers has a better than 105 passer rating to start the season. It seems like when Rivers is healthy early in the season the Chargers thrive, and he does have some help in rookie RB Melvin Gordon with has 56 carries for 228 yards at 4.2 yards per carry. The bigger problem is a defense that has surrendered 24 or more points in all four games. The Pittsburgh offense has gotten a lot more conservative with Michael Vick at the helm, but he is not turning the ball over, and DeAngelo Williams and Le'veon Bell have produced over 400 yards on the season by land. While Vick didn't get a lot of downfield looks in his first start, he certainly has the weapons to take a few shots in this one, especially against a Chargers defense that has struggled in all four games. The Steelers enter at 8-2 to the OVER following a loss in their last 10. Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are 30-17 OVER when coming off a division game including 13-2 OVER off a division loss. Look for a more open attack by the Steelers as Vick has a game under his belt and the playbook expands with the extra week of practice. Make the play on the OVER.
|Los Angeles ChargersChargers||7||0||0||13||20|
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