2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 23, 2011
Pittsburgh at Arizona
Sunday 10/23 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Arizona PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
Pittsburgh has not made it look easy this season. While they are 4-2, questions linger. Their latest questionable game came at home last week vs. 1-5 Jacksonville, where they held on for an unimpressive 17-13 win over the Jags. Big Ben has thrown six INTs already this season and Rashard Mendenhall is rushing for under 4 yards per carry. The result is an offense averaging just 19.8 points per game (13.3 on the road). They simply do not look like the team that went to the Super Bowl a year ago. The Steelers have allowed 18 sacks already this season, which puts Ben on a pace of going down nearly 50 times. Arizona has had one bad game all season and it was last week on the road at Minnesota in a 24-point loss. The other five games have all been competitive with 1, 3, and 4-point losses and a win vs. Carolina. This team is always tough at home having gone 10-4 ATS in their last 14 as a home dog. The Steelers have not played up to expectations, and the road has been worse where they are 0-4 ATS in their last four going back to last year. Arizona's defense is suspect but even in Pittsburgh's heydey they haven't been one to take advantage of that. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS the past three seasons vs. defenses that allow 350+ yards per game. In their last 35 games following back-to-back-to-back losses, the Cards are 25-10 ATS. Take Arizona in this one.