This pick was released to clients on January 29, 2018 at 4:24PM ET.
img NFL

Philadelphia vs. New England

February 4, 2018
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (risk 2 to return 5.74)
Result:
LOSS

In 2017, the average number of field goals per game was 3.38. Philly averaged 2.31 field goals made per game while New England kicked just 1.81 per game. But, this is not just any game. This is the big game and the Super Bowl is a different animal. Teams are generally less conservative overall in the Super Bowl when all is said and done. It?s all or nothing. The coaches do not want to leave anything on the field. If a team is ahead, they don?t want to give their opponent any chance of coming back. If a team is behind, they are not playing to keep it close ? they are playing to win the game, no matter what. So, there are fewer field goals in the Super Bowl than in your average NFL game. Through the first 51 Super Bowls, there have only been 131 made field goals which comes to an average of 2.57 per game. That?s nearly 25% less than the regular-season average. In only 13 of the 51 Super Bowl games have more than three field goals been made! That comes to just 25.5% and fair odds on that are -292. Yet, we get -115 odds here. This bet should come through about 75% of the time. Take the UNDER on this prop.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Philadelphia Eagles img
9
13
7
12
41
New England Patriots
3
9
14
7
33
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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