2017 Season NFL Football Past Picks

February 04, 2018

This pick was released to clients on January 29, 2018 at 6:24PM ET.

04

Philadelphia vs. New England

Sunday 02/04 06:30 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Longest Touchdown OVER 44.5 yards (risk 1.5 to return 4.43)  RESULT: LOSS

Will there be a huge game-breaker play in this game? Will one team score a long touchdown of 45 or more yards? We have two elite defenses here so your intuition probably says that it?s not that likely. But, the stats speak otherwise. Over the first 51 Super Bowls, a team has scored a 45+ yard touchdown 32 times (63% of the time). And, the games that didn?t have a long touchdown were front-loaded in the early years. In the first 20 Super Bowls, eight of the games saw the longest touchdown remain under 45 yards. But in the last 31 Super Bowls, only 11 games have failed to produce a touchdown of 45+ yards. That?s just 35% of the time. So, we can expect roughly a two-thirds chance of winning this bet, while getting about even odds. Take the OVER on this prop bet.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Eagles 9 13 7 12 41
Patriots 3 9 14 7 33

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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