2003 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 27, 2003

This pick was released to clients on August 15, 2012 at 4:02PM ET.

27

Philadelphia at Washington

Saturday 12/27 08:30 PM Eastern

4 units on Washington +7 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: LOSS

Philadelphia reminds me a bit of Kansas City – lots of wins but not that great of a team. Both have their defensive problems which will limit their success in December and January. How will the Eagles react to their first loss in 10 games? Let’s look at what happened to two other teams this season after they lost their first game following a long winning streak. Kansas City went on an 0-4 streak ATS and Minnesota an 0-5 ATS streak. With a run defense like Philadelphia has, I love getting 7 points. The Eagles have allowed 150+ rushing yards in five straight games. Last week against San Francisco, it finally caught up with them. It may not get any better this week. The Eagles lost lost their best linebacker last game, Carlos Emmons with a broken leg. Washington will no doubt run the ball a lot. They are motivated to play spoiler and win at home to end the season on some sort of up-note. Despite a poor season, Washington has covered the spread 5 out of their last 7 games. This line is just too high. The Redskins have been out of playoff contention now for some time and they have shown an ability to play well in spite of this. They played hard last week in what could be dubbed a meaningless game. Finally, the Skins qualify for a 26-3 ATS trend involving big home underdogs.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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