2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 16, 2022
This pick was released to clients on January 13, 2022 at 10:59AM ET.
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Sunday 01/16 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 46 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: PUSH
This is a relatively high total, and it is a really bad matchup for the Philadelphia offense. The Eagles are a run-first attack, leading the NFL in rushing behind mobile QB Jalen Hurts (784 rushing yards) and RB Miles Sanders (754 yards). However, they run into a big Tampa Bay defensive line that has ranked No. 1, No. 1, and No. 3 the last three years at stuffing the run. If they get behind, Philadelphia is No. 24 in passing offense behind young QB Jalen Hurts (16 TDs, 9 INTs). At least the defense is No. 10 in yards allowed, and the team is 44-19 UNDER the total after playing a game where 60+ points were scored. Tampa Bay's balanced defense is No. 7 in sacks and No. 12 on third down. They're a pass-happy offense, but they have lost leading WR Chris Godwin (1,103 yards) while WR Antonio Brown got himself fired, two of Tom Brady's top three targets. Also, the Bucs are 63-40 UNDER the total after having won three out of their last four contests. Back the UNDER.
|Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers||14||3||14||0||31|