2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks
August 20, 2009
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Philadelphia at Indianapolis
Thursday 08/20 08:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Indianapolis +4 (-107) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: win
3 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110 (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: loss
Eagles Coach Andy Reid has shown disdain for these games and has never taken winning them seriously. Reid has a bad record in the preseason with a combined 15-26 mark in these games as coach of the Eagles and just 7-13 ATS as a favorite. Jim Caldwell lost his opener, and hopefully he is anxious to get a win under his belt at home tonight. Just like Monday Night Football was in its first 15 years or so, the NFL preseason has been characterized by dominating home underdogs as they have turned the points at home into 61% winners over the last decade. This is a good spot for Indy at home getting points, under a first year coach playing against a coach that has always puts out good teams - just not in the preseason. Indy gets the call here. I also like this game to go UNDER the total. Andy Reid over the past three years has seen his teams score an average of 13.3 points per game on the road during the preseason. That average if attained, would mean the Colts would have to reach 24 points, something they have done just three times at home in the last six years of preseason play. I also like the UNDER here.