2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 24, 2011
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Philadelphia at Dallas
Saturday 12/24 04:15 PM Eastern
3 units on Dallas PICK () (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The Philadelphia Eagles have played better over the last two weeks, beating the struggling Jets and Dolphins. The Dallas Cowboys are different than both of those teams - they are better. Dallas has the ability to win this game two different ways. They can win a high-scoring affair, or they can win with their defense that has allowed less than 20 points in five of the last seven weeks. As you know based on my picks, I love to fade the Cowboys as a big favorite. They fall down hard when expecdtations are high. But here they are not laying big points - not enough points in my opinion. While all the attention this season has gone to quarterbacks Tim Tebow, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Tom Brady, Tony Romo is quietly putting together a stellar season. Romo is on track for over 4,000 yards and a 3-to-1 TD to INT ratio. Since week six, Romo has thrown 21 touchdowns to only three interceptions. It doesn't get better than that. The Eagles give up a lot of points and five times this season opponents have laid 30 or more on them, and it hasn't taken big offenses to get there. Michael Vick is having nowhere near the year he had last season with 13 TDs and 13 INTs on the season, as his offensive line has kept him on the run and the hits have taken their toll. The Eagles have lost five in a row after scoring 30 points or more in their previous game, a testament to their inconsistencies that have plagued them all year. Dallas has now gone 22-9-2 ATS in their last 33 at home vs. a team with a losing record. People easily forget that this Eagles team remains a 6-8 team with lots of problems. Dalls is the better team, at home. Play the Cowboys here.