New York at New England

The Jets always play the Patriots hard in this AFC East rivalry tilt. New York comes off a bye week with rookie QB Zach Wilson playing well as the offense had its best outings the last two games. They had a 27-24 upset of first-place Tennessee as a +5.5 dog and a 27-20 loss at Atlanta. New York's defense is #17 against the pass and ninth in the NFL on third down. While the Jets are rested, New England is off a wild overtime loss to the Cowboys in a national TV showdown. The Patriots have a losing record with five of their seven games decided by six points or less. The defense is banged up as three starters up front missed practice in LB Dont'a Hightower (ankle), DT Davon Godchaux, and DE Deatrich Wise, Jr. (knee) while CBs Jonathan Jones (shoulder) and Shaun Wade (concussion) are out. NFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that trailed their last game by 14+ points are 46-88 ATS after surrendering 30+ points. Play New York.