2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks

January 08, 2005

This pick was released to clients on July 11, 2012 at 3:26PM ET.

08

New York at Los Angeles

Saturday 01/08 08:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Los Angeles -6.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: LOSS

Another revenge situation between the two best defenses playing this weekend. The Jets handed the Chargers one of their only four losses this season. Their turnaround from 4-12 to 12-4 is the most amazing story of the season. This is a pretty big spread but the Chargers are on a mission right now. They are pumped to be here and I think they'll come ready to play. They showed last week that they have depth and heart, winning a "meaningless" game with backups. The Jets have just too many question marks right now. Their defense is great but their offense is struggling and they haven't yet proven they can win the big games against good teams. San Diego is scoring over 7 more points per game than the Jets. They have an incredibly talented offense with one of the best running backs, one of th ebest tight ends and one of the hottest QBs in the game. Their defense, while not quite as good as New York's, is solid, especially against the run. The Chargers are allowing just 82 yards per game on the ground and 3.7 per carry. If they can find a way to bottle up Curtis Martin, they can blow out the Jets. While the statistics would indicate this would be a very close game on a neutral field, I think the Chargers have momentum, home field advantage and confidence going for them here. Drew Brees didn't finish the first game in which these two teams played. It was later learned he played part of the game with a concussion. Assuming he plays this entire game at full strength, I expectthe result will be different this time around and I think San Diego wins and covers. One star on San Diego.

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