2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 16, 2012
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
New York at Atlanta
Sunday 12/16 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
The much maligned Giants’ defense, and this team in general, are puzzling to many. The Giants can lose to Cincinnati and Philadelphia, fall behind to Tampa Bay and Cleveland, and rally back seemingly at will. They tend to be lackadaisical until it is show time vs. the big teams. They had their first big test at San Francisco in mid October, with the Niners playing to revenge a playoff loss. The Giants came out and dominated the game, allowing the Niners a season-low 3 points and winning by over three touchdowns. Later in the season, the Giants suffered back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Cincinnati and then Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers headed to the Meadowlands and were held to 10 points as the Giants won by 28. So, in this game, expeect an A-effort from the Giants defense. This is a big-game team, and the Falcons at 11-2 and the best record in the NFC are up next. Just like the Niners, the Falcons have major revenge for a punishing 24-2 loss in their first round playoff game a year ago. History has told their story, so I expect the Giants to muscle up on the defensive side and limit the Falcons’ offense. New York has been a great road team for years and this year is no exception. The G-Men have held opponents to just 16.8 points per game on the road this season. The Falcons don't get a lot of credit on the defensive side of the ball, but seven of their last eleven opponents failed to score more than 20 points! The Giants are 11-1 to the UNDER following a win, and just one of their last eight road games has eclipsed the total. These two teams have combined for a 17-9 mark to the UNDER this season. Giants road games this season have averaged just 39.6 points. Falcons home games have averaged 43.2 points. If we average both of those, we get 41.4 points. This total is a whopping 10 points taller than that. Take the UNDER.
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