2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 15, 2009

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

15

New Orleans at St. Louis

Sunday 11/15 01:00 PM Eastern

4 units on Game Total UNDER 51 -110 (risk 4 to return 4)  RESULT: LOSS

The Rams have won just three football games in their last 28 tries. For that they can primarily blame their offense which is amongst the worst in NFL history over that period. The Rams offense has accounted for seven touchdowns in eight games on the season, and they have one INT returned for a TD. They rank dead last in the NFL, scoring just one of those seven offensive TDs from inside the 10-yard line. Overall the Rams average less than 10 points per game. It is very rare to see a total set in a game at or around the 50-point mark with just one offensive team in the game. The Saints offense is certainly powerful, but to put this one over the total it is likely they will have to push the 40-point mark. The Rams have played in just seven games in the last three years where a game total exceeded 50 points, discounting week 17 when mostly reserves play. The Rams defense isn't great, but they have only allowed 40 points or more in a game six times in their last 66 games (9% of the time). If and when the Saints open a big lead, they will eventually turn to the running game to milk the clock, and they may even rest starters late in this one. Yes, the Saints have put up 30+ points in each of their last four games. But, under Sean Payton, they are a perfect 6-0 UNDER follwoing 3+ straight games scoring 25 or more. I like this one to go UNDER the total.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Saints 0 14 7 7 28
Rams 0 14 3 6 23

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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