2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 16, 2008

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

16

New Orleans at Kansas City

Sunday 11/16 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Game Total UNDER 51 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The last time Kansas City played in a game with a total of 50 or higher was Novemebr 27th, 2005. That's almost three years and 47 games ago! The Drew Brees factor and the public's love for high-scoring teams means the oddsmakers had to post this one very high to get balanced action. But we are gonna go with the facts instead. The Chiefs offense averages 16 ppg and I'm not sure the last time I saw a total with one team averaging under 17 a game. It takes two teams to help reach a total this high. Kansas City has actually played UNDER in the last five games they have played with a total of 50+. The Saints certainly have a good offense, but the fact is they have not gotten out of the 20s in the majority of their games this season. The Chiefs had a rare big game last week passing for over 250 yards. Now everyone believes in Tyler Thigpen? Hmmm.  The last nine times KC has passed for 250+, they played UNDER in seven of the nine games following. By the same token, they allowed over 250 in the air last week and have played UNDER in five of the last seven that happened. We have an inflated total here and I'll back the UNDER.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Saints 3 10 14 3 30
Chiefs 7 3 3 7 20

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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